There is a high probability that he will intervene in the Baltics to test NATO's Article 5, putin knows that if he crosses the red line and attacks a Nato ally, he will be defeated. This includes exercising of decision–making processes and joint military and non-military responses in cooperation with other actors. 2. Hybrid warfare occupies the uncomfortable middle ground between conventional and unconventional warfare, mixing elements of both in the process. (i.e. The period of the Vietnam War from 1962 to 1968 would fit the definition of hybrid war until the Tet Offensive in 1968 when the Viet Cong ceased to exist as a serious military threat. In the words of one NATO/ACT official, the task is to “paint the face on the faceless enemy”3 and to develop the hybrid threat concept, as well as examine viable and effective strategies to meet hybrid threats. 3 Countering hybrid warfare Executive summary The international consensus on ‘hybrid warfare’ is clear: no one understands it, but everyone, including NATO and the European Union, agrees it is a problem. Potential of hybrid warfare 15 5. Definition of hybrid warfare in the Definitions.net dictionary. Key Characteristics of Russian Hybrid Warfare Russian hybrid warfare has at least three main characteristics. “Future Warfare: The Rise of Hybrid Wars.” (Eds.) The third and fourth parts address the implications of each challenge for national Defence policy, strategy and capability. Sign up for the Early Bird Brief, the defense industry's most comprehensive news and information, straight to your inbox. While neither the European Union (EU) nor the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation ( NATO) appear to have a clear definition of this term, both organisations are taking steps to ‘counter Besides, the definitions of some terms that are widely associated with hybrid warfare are provided. The primary responsibility to respond to hybrid threats or attacks rests with the targeted nation. If the new threat is so complex, political, and subtle, shouldn’t the response be the same? One of . The hybrid analysis branch provides decision-makers with improved awareness on possible hybrid threats. During the last five years, this slippery concept … Recognizing Russia would stand little chance of winning a protracted conventional conflict with NATO, Moscow seeks instead to pursue its interests without overt use of military power if possible. Hybrid war strategies are always underway, although at certain moments they may become more acute and intense or cross over into conventional combat operations. NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg at the inauguration of the European Centre of Excellence (CoE) for Countering Hybrid Threats (Finland, 2 October 2017). Trump wants NATO to be more involved in the Middle East. B. NATO’ S . . Hybrid CoE Strategic Analysis 24: Ambiguity in hybrid warfare. Being prepared to prevent, counter and respond to hybrid attacks, whether by state or non-state actors, is a top priority for NATO. A strategy and actionable implementation plans on NATO’s role in countering hybrid warfare … The definition encompasses the key elements of hybrid warfare: conventional and non-conventional, blurring of domains and involving elements previously allocated to the unlawful domain. Hybrid Warfare : Fighting Complex Opponents from the Ancient World to the Present by Murray, Williamson & Mansoor, Peter R. There is no official definition of hybrid warfare by NATO; however, it has defined hybrid warfare in its public pronouncements as warfare . Hybrid methods of warfare, such as propaganda, deception, sabotage and other non-military tactics have long been used to destabilise adversaries. Over the last few years, “hybrid warfare” has become firmly established in the Western security lexicon. 21), 2016 Warsaw Summit Declaration (para. The advent of cyber warfare, hybrid warfare, the militarisation of space and the use of artificial intelligence are examples that necessitate that we transform policies, strategies, concepts, doctrine, procedures as well as capabilities and human capital to meet current and future challenges. National Security Advisers meet at NATO Headquarters, NATO Deputy Secretary General to speak on Countering Hybrid Threats, Secretary General participates in Hybrid Centre of Excellence inauguration with Finnish leaders and EU High Representative, Remarks by NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg at the Inauguration of the Helsinki Centre of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats, with EU High Representative Federica Mogherini. Indeed, while this type of conflict has only been publically labelled in the last decade, the roots can be found… Hybrid tactics, which include cyber-attacks, disinformation and economic interference, are increasingly used against NATO and EU member countries. Hybrid Warfare as a Strategy. ... #Communication, #intelligence, #NATO, The link was added 14 September 2020. The West’s preoccupation with the Gerasimov doctrine and Russia’s hybrid warfare also obscures the role of Russia’s military power in its foreign and national security policies. What is it?” he added. The terms hybrid warfare, new generation warfare and grey zone are often used interchangeably to describe the Russian operational approach towards the post-Soviet states or former Soviet republics. NATO Secretary General's Annual Report 2019 NATO (19 March 2020) See page 29. This article analyzes the emergence of 'hybrid warfare', which blurs the line between military and civilian forms of organization, both in the conduct and the target of warfare. They are international research centres that are nationally or multi-nationally funded and staffed. Phone: +371 26533953. e-mail: info [at] stratcomcoe [dot] org Hybrid wars are, broadly defined, conflicts involving one or more nonstate actors that nevertheless possess the attributes of a state’s military. NATO has a strategy on its role in countering hybrid warfare and stands ready to defend the Alliance and all Allies against any threat, whether conventional or hybrid. The main objective of the analysis is the study of NATO, The North Atlantic Treaty Organization, in its approach to hybrid warfare, as defined by Frank G. Hoffman in “Hybrid Warfare and Challenges”. The NATO alliance faces not only a conventional threat from Russia, but also one that is more insidious in nature—hybrid warfare. Since 2015, NATO has had a strategy on its role in countering hybrid warfare. The first definition of hybrid warfare is given by Hoffman. The European Centre of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats located in Helsinki, Finland serves as a hub of expertise, assisting participating countries in improving their civil-military capabilities, resilience and preparedness to counter hybrid threats. Much is made these days of the new challenge to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) from “hybrid warfare” — the kind of blended military-political-intelligence-economic operations Russia has launched in Ukraine. State of art on hybrid warfare in Czech academic cycles 14 4. By combining kinetic operations with subversive efforts, the aggressor intends to avoid attribution or retribution. D. EFINITION. Ukraine sees two paths for joining NATO. Russia’s Hybrid War in Ukraine: Breaking the Enemy’s Ability to Resist The Finnish Institute of International Affairs, FIIA report (16 June 2015) NATO and New Ways of Warfare: Defeating Hybrid … hybrid warfare use the term to describe the area where regular warfare and irregular warfare intersect and blend to create a new form of warfare. Proxy warfare refers to when states influence conflicts without placing their own forces on the ground. What does hybrid warfare mean? 72), Euro-Atlantic Disaster Response Coordination Centre (EADRCC), NATO Public Diplomacy Division’s Co-Sponsorship Grants. Amicus Curiae News, Official Texts, Opinions) Defending against Hybrid Threats. The term hybrid warfare has no consistent definition but generally refers to deniable and covert actions, supported by the threat or use of conventional and/or nuclear forces, to … What keeps Britain’s defense secretary up at night? "(5) Both of these definitions align with Frank Hoffman's vision of hybrid warfare, which is also the most predominantly accepted military Sweden’s defense minister on relations with America, Russian threats and the European Union. To be prepared, NATO continuously gathers, shares and assesses information in order to detect and attribute any ongoing hybrid activity. Viewed from this perspective, hybrid warfare … where a wide range of overt and covert military, ‘hybrid warfare’ and ‘hybrid threats’ to provide further clarity. The Alliance has developed a strategy on its role in countering hybrid warfare to help address these threats. After the U.S.-led military intervention in Iraq in 2003, Iran hoped to check the Deputy Secretary General Rose Gottemoeller welcomed European Commissioner for the Security Union Sir Julian King to NATO on Thursday (14 March 2019), for talks on how NATO and the EU can work more closely together to counter hybrid warfare. NATO is strengthening its coordination with partners, including the European Union, in efforts to counter hybrid threats. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) alliance currently faces not only a conventional threat from Russia, but also a more insidious threat—that of hybrid warfare. NATO continues to strengthen its cooperation and coordination with such partners as Finland, Sweden, Ukraine and the European Union (EU) to counter hybrid threats and enhance resilience. Hybrid warfare — also known as grey zone conflict or low-intensity conflict — is a reality, and the U.S. military must be ready to confront and deter it, a senior intelligence officer said. A recent experiment raised important issues concerning how NATO does business. The Warsaw Summit took place almost two years after the Wales Summit, at which NATO recognised that international law applies to cyberspace and that cyber defence is part of NATO’s core task of collective defence. Much is made these days of the new challenge to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) from “hybrid warfare” — the kind of blended military-political-intelligence-economic operations Russia has launched in Ukraine. hybrid warfare and determines the definition to be used throughout this study. The Warsaw Summit took place amidst the persistent migrant crisis in Europe, the ongoing armed conflicts in Syria and Iraq, the partly-frozen armed conflict in Ukraine, and in the aftermath of the so-called ‘Brexit’ referen… Mattis, James N., and Frank G. Hoffman. Secondly, it discusses the use of ‘cyber’ in the context of ‘hybrid threats’ before it, thirdly, addresses some implications for (I analyzed this idea in more depth here.). Hybrid CoE Hybrid CoE is an independent, network-based international organisation countering hybrid threats. ple, defines hybrid warfare as conflict involving a combination of conventional military forces and irregulars (guerrillas, insurgents, and terrorists), which could include both state and non-state actors, aimed at achieving a common political purpose. D. EFINITION. On 1 December 2015, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg and then European Union High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Federica Mogherini, announced the launching of a new hybrid warfare program and a new NATO hybrid warfare strategy. The same issue … The Joint Intelligence and Security Division at NATO Headquarters improves the Alliance’s understanding and analysis of hybrid threats. B. NATO’ S . 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